COVID in CT: The information that tell the story

The Connecticut reflect is tracking the newest coronavirus information in Connecticut. These pix are up-to-date with the newest information as quickly as the state publishes them.

Statewide case, death, hospitalization and positivity fee statistics are up-to-date every weekday around four p.m. Some graphics are up to date on distinctive schedules, as referred to. until otherwise designated, the facts are sourced from Connecticut’s Open records portal.

follow CT replicate’s COVID-19 coverage right here. Questions or concepts about these statistics? send us a word at facts@ctmirror.org.

The state doesn’t record records on weekends. the line shows the 7-day rolling general, which takes under consideration the shortcoming of statistics on weekends. Toggle between the gray buttons to filter through date; observe that positivity quotes in March and April have been impacted by means of the relative scarcity of checking out. statistics updated every day.

The state doesn’t record facts on weekends. the line suggests the 7-day rolling typical, which takes under consideration the shortcoming of statistics on weekends. Toggle between the gray buttons to filter by way of date. information up to date day by day.

The state doesn’t document data on weekends. the road suggests the 7-day rolling common, which takes into consideration the inability of facts on weekends. Toggle between the gray buttons to filter by date. statistics updated each day.

The state doesn’t document records on weekends. the road shows the 7-day rolling usual, which takes under consideration the lack of statistics on weekends. Toggle between the gray buttons to filter by date. facts up-to-date each day.

click on a circle to peer the town’s style line when you consider that the state began reporting 14-day case rate records on 10-22. Case prices are calculated in the two weeks previous to the date the information had been mentioned; cities with fewer than 5 instances are within the gray zone. Nursing domestic residents and incarcerated people with COVID-19 aren’t included in the facts. Figures up to date weekly.

What verify positivity tells you — and what it doesn’t

The positivity expense is a “relatively crude method to peer if we’re doing ample trying out,” based on Yale Professor of Epidemiology Ted Cohen. In Connecticut, the positivity cost is defined as the number of circumstances divided with the aid of the number of tests said day after day. It’s commonly pointed out in the context of assessing COVID-19 unfold, however it is particularly influenced by fluctuations in trying out patterns.

as an instance, high positivity quotes in March and April mirror the relative shortage of checking out over that length, and any evaluation to present-day fees ought to hold that in intellect, he talked about.

“The pool of people we were testing in the spring is totally different from who is being demonstrated now. The checks had been extra constrained to americans who were severely sick, and there were shortages of exams. for this reason, that you may’t directly evaluate the numbers of fine checks between the spring and now,” stated Yale affiliate Professor of Epidemiology Dan Weinberger.

the area health organization’s 5% positivity threshold for reopening is a little bit arbitrary, Cohen stated, but in prevalent, a high positivity cost shows that testing statistics isn’t capturing the complete case count number.

day by day case records is a photograph of the previous — now not a mirrored image of the present

The governor’s briefings and the CT replicate’s case-count number charts report examine records according to the day that the outcomes comes again from a lab. As there’s a variable time lengthen between getting verified and getting a outcome again, these information will be displaying the previous, not the existing.

The case cost statistics with the aid of town, in spite of this, releases statistics via the date that a person became verified. for this reason, the case numbers in the town-by way of-city bubble chart reflect active COVID-situations over the old two weeks. The records are up to date weekly.

Deaths path at the back of instances

whereas the case information on a given day is a image of the previous, it is also a clue to what people may at last see in the dying statistics.

In conventional, deaths path behind situations via about two to a few weeks, Cohen talked about. The extend is on account of the character of the sickness and the time it takes to show deadly; it’s additionally influenced through the method of recording deaths. “This lag has been abused through many people” to query the severity of the disease, Cohen noted, but only time can exhibit the entire impact of the pandemic.

That observed, the extent of the spike in deaths following a spike in cases may also now not be the equal because it become in March, Cohen referred to. partially, here’s because medical doctors and nurses are superior outfitted to deal with the virus now than they were then. those infected these days could also be less susceptible, specifically in the event that they are younger.

Case prices by means of town don’t encompass nursing homes and correctional amenities

whereas this capability that the town map does not give a complete image of the virus in a local, separating out nursing domestic and penal complex records can provide most town residents with a extra correct realizing of their chance of publicity “if these are definitely remoted populations inside these group where there’s little to no interplay,” Cohen said.

Case charges by way of town don’t normalize for checking out model

The sheer number of exams might vary by way of city, and “it truly is a potential source of bias,” Cohen talked about. faculty cities, as an example, may additionally see bigger trying out numbers as a result of universities are checking out communities on a regular foundation. town-by using-city case expense statistics includes cases from colleges and universities, tested Pauline Zaldonis, the dataset’s manager.

That ability that some towns can be doing a stronger job of determining cases than others, leading to bigger case prices.

The state of Connecticut’s COVID-19 website additionally aspects a discussion board where Connecticut residents can request COVID-19 datasets that don’t seem to be already purchasable, spoke of Scott Gaul, the state’s chief facts officer. “It’s been surprising how a good deal americans have used it,” he observed. “We’ve had extra comments are available the closing six months than within the first six years that the [Open Data] portal became on-line.”